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Gera Borrowing Cost Index (GBCI) — Methodology

Full reproducible formula behind the Gera Borrowing Cost Index (GBCI), computed only from Bank of England published effective interest rates and the Official Bank Rate (Open Government Licence v3.0). Generic context only — never quotes any specific lender's product.

Reference period: April 2026 · Sources: Bank of England Money and Credit Statistics + Official Bank Rate History · Open Government Licence v3.0

What is the Gera Borrowing Cost Index (GBCI)?

The Gera Borrowing Cost Index (GBCI) is a Gera-computed signal expressing how expensive UK lending rates are relative to the Bank of England's policy rate (the Bank Rate). It is normalised to a 0–100 scale:

GBCI = ((effectiveRate − bankRate) / bankRate) × 50 + 50

Interpretation:

  • · GBCI = 50 → spread exactly equals the Bank Rate (spread = 100% of bank rate)
  • · GBCI > 50 → lending rates are proportionally wider above the Bank Rate
  • · GBCI < 50 → lending rates are proportionally narrower above the Bank Rate

The GBCI is a generic context signal — it shows the aggregate market position, not any individual lender's rate or any prediction of what you will be offered. It is never used to imply a specific commercial APR.

Step 1 — BoE effective lending rates

Source: Bank of England Money and Credit Statistics, April 2026. Published monthly; Open Government Licence v3.0. These are aggregate effective rates across all UK monetary financial institutions — not any specific lender's product.

Loan typeEffective rate (April 2026)BoE series description
New personal loans9.53%Effective rate on new personal loans to individuals
Newly drawn mortgages4.08%Effective rate on newly drawn mortgages
Outstanding mortgage stock3.92%Effective rate on outstanding mortgage stock
Interest-charging credit cards21.20%Effective rate on interest-charging credit card balances
Arranged overdrafts21.79%Effective rate on arranged overdrafts

Step 2 — Official Bank Rate

Source: Bank of England Official Bank Rate History (OGL v3.0). The Bank Rate is set by the Monetary Policy Committee and is the base from which commercial lenders set their own rates.

DateRate
18 Dec 2025 ← current3.75%
07 Aug 20254.00%
08 May 20254.25%
06 Feb 20254.50%
07 Nov 20244.75%
01 Aug 20245.00%
03 Aug 20235.25%
22 Jun 20235.00%
11 May 20234.50%
23 Mar 20234.25%
02 Feb 20234.00%
15 Dec 20223.50%
03 Nov 20223.00%
22 Sep 20222.25%
04 Aug 20221.75%

Step 3 & 4 — Spread and GBCI

Spread = effectiveRate − bankRate. GBCI = (spread / bankRate) × 50 + 50. Worked examples for April 2026:

Loan typeEffective rateBank RateSpreadGBCI
Personal Loan9.53%3.75%5.78%127/100
Mortgage4.08%3.75%0.33%54/100
Credit Card21.20%3.75%17.45%283/100
Arranged Overdraft21.79%3.75%18.04%291/100

Step 5 — Indicative total cost of credit

Standard annuity formula for equal monthly repayments:

monthlyRate = effectiveRatePct / 100 / 12
monthlyPayment = P × r × (1+r)ⁿ / ((1+r)ⁿ − 1)
totalRepayable = monthlyPayment × n
totalInterest = totalRepayable − P

Worked example (personal loan £10,000, 36 months, rate 9.53%):

r = 9.53 / 100 / 12 = 0.007942
P = 10000
n = 36
monthlyPayment ≈ £320.47
totalRepayable ≈ £11,536.91
totalInterest ≈ £1,536.91

What GBCI does not represent

  • Any specific commercial lender's APR or product offer
  • The rate you will be offered — your rate depends on creditworthiness, income, and individual lender criteria
  • Advice to borrow or recommendations about any product
  • The total cost including arrangement fees, early repayment charges or other product-specific charges
  • Any forecast or prediction of future interest rates
  • Any endorsement of any lending product or institution

The GBCI and all cost-context figures are derived from Bank of England published aggregate statistics under the Open Government Licence v3.0. They are provided for informational context only. Always obtain a personalised quote from a regulated lender before making any borrowing decision.

Licence and attribution

Contains public sector information published by Bank of England and licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Source: Bank of England — Official Bank Rate History (June 2026, published 18 December 2025).

Contains public sector information published by Bank of England and licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Source: Bank of England — Money and Credit Statistics, April 2026 (April 2026, published June 2026).

The GBCI formula and indicative cost computations are original work by Gera Systems Ltd. The underlying effective rate data is Crown copyright, published by the Bank of England under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Last updated: 2026-06-20.